IMS-中国医疗市场预测2017-2021（英文）-2017.3-126页.pdf
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IMS Market Prognosis
2017-2021
Asia/Australia – China
Published March 2017
Market Prognosis 2017-2021 | China
3
Table of Contents
IMS Market Prognosis ........................................................................................................................... 5
Market Overview and Forecasts .......................................................................................................... 6
Market Synopsis............................................................................................................................. 6
Total Market Forecasts 2017-2021 ................................................................................................ 9
Analysis of Rebates and Discounts ..................................................................................... 9
Summary of the Prognosis .................................................................................................. 9
Hospital Sector Overview ............................................................................................................. 13
Hospital Sector Forecasts ................................................................................................. 14
Event Analysis ................................................................................................................... 16
Positive Events .................................................................................................................. 17
Negative Events ................................................................................................................ 20
Forecasting Data and Methods .................................................................................................... 24
Data Sources ..................................................................................................................... 24
Baseline Extrapolations ..................................................................................................... 25
Hospital Sector Baseline Extrapolations ........................................................................... 25
Economic Indicators .......................................................................................................... 26
Therapeutic Class Forecasts ....................................................................................................... 27
IMS Market Prognosis Report ............................................................................................................ 29
Business Environment ....................................................................................................................... 30
Economic Environment ................................................................................................................ 30
Economic Growth .............................................................................................................. 30
Inflation .............................................................................................................................. 30
Population .......................................................................................................................... 31
Fiscal Policy ....................................................................................................................... 31
Monetary Policy ................................................................................................................. 31
Foreign Trade and Current Account .................................................................................. 32
Exchange Rates ................................................................................................................ 32
Political Environment ................................................................................................................... 34
Political Institutions ............................................................................................................ 34
Current Government .......................................................................................................... 34
Policy Trends ..................................................................................................................... 35
International Relations ....................................................................................................... 36
Healthcare Environment ..................................................................................................................... 37
Healthcare Provision .................................................................................................................... 37
Healthcare System ............................................................................................................ 37
Health Status ..................................................................................................................... 39
Healthcare Policy ............................................................................................................... 42
Healthcare Financing and Expenditure ............................................................................. 45
Pharmaceutical Expenditure .............................................................................................. 46
Health Insurance ............................................................................................................... 47
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